Financial services
Industry / Financial services
Political risk impacts markets
As a portfolio manager, you face growing exposure to geopolitical forces - from sanctions and tariffs to elections and regulatory shifts - that can quickly unsettle markets and erode returns. Without timely, objective insight, it becomes difficult to anticipate disruptions, price in risk accurately, or act with confidence in volatile conditions.
Horizon Engage’s political risk analysis gives you the foresight to anticipate change and assess potential outcomes before they impact performance. Our structured insights help you manage exposure, align strategy with shifting geopolitical realities, and make investment decisions with greater clarity and conviction.
Making the difference
Thoughtful oversight of above-ground challenges underpins successful investment outcomes.
Companies that rank political risk as a top 5 risk
75%
Lost profits due to geopolitical volatility
$320b
2025 geopolitical risk premium / bbl
$10
Rare earth reserves in politically sensitive countries
65%
Case Study
Geopolitics & M&A
A special situations fund was evaluating an investment tied to the acquisition of a strategic domestic company by a foreign state-owned enterprise (SOE). The fund manager needed to assess the opaque and politically charged government approval process.
Challenge
With multiple agencies involved—each with distinct mandates, political pressures, and priorities—the fund lacked visibility into who influences the final decision and how competing interests are reconciled, what informal red lines or national security sensitivities could trigger rejection and how timing, public sentiment, and geopolitical context might alter the regulatory outcome.
Solution
Horizon Engage mapped the political and commercial ties between the acquiring SOE’s home country and the target’s market, assessing public sentiment, key decision-makers, and past precedents to anticipate how regulators were likely to respond.
Impact
Armed with granular intelligence on political decision-makers, public sentiment, and precedent behavior, the hedge fund gained a differentiated view that challenged market consensus ahead of the ruling by local regulators.
Our Products
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All productsCountry Insights
Our Country Insights service delivers continuous intelligence on political, regulatory, and stakeholder dynamics, keeping you ahead of change and informed when it matters most.
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Country Insights
Our Country Insights service delivers continuous intelligence on political, regulatory, and stakeholder dynamics, keeping you ahead of change and informed when it matters most.